Approval ratings fall sharply among groups that supported Trump in 2024
A new survey finds net approval among Latino and young voters has dropped significantly, raising questions about Republican turnout for next week's midterms.
By Justin Barnes ·
President Donald Trump secured office in 2024 by uniting his core supporters with unexpected backing from Hispanic and young voters. A new survey indicates that this coalition is now substantially weaker.
The CNBC All-America Economic Survey, conducted from Oct. 14 to 18, tracks approval ratings since the start of the current term. Net approval among Latino voters has fallen from -22 to -38. For adults aged 18 to 34, the figure has dropped from -28 to -53. Black respondents show a similar decline, moving from -55 to -67.
Among all registered voters, net approval has slid from -7 to -19. Even within the Republican base, support has cooled. Net approval among self-described Trump voters has fallen from +85 in 2025 to +65. In the South, net approval has turned negative, dropping from +2 to -20.
Economic approval has deteriorated further. Net economic approval hit -31 in the latest data, down from -21 in the first quarter of the year. Disapproval stands at 65%, the highest level recorded for any president since Barack Obama. The survey notes that rising frustration with inflation and the shooting of Americans by Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers has eroded support for key policies.
Political scientists point to a turnout gap that could hurt Republicans next week. Interest in the election is 10 points lower among Republicans than among Democrats. While 44% of respondents fear a Republican Congress allows Trump to exceed constitutional powers, 28% worry a Democratic Congress will pass Democratic Socialist policies. Most voters, regardless of party preference, cite the cost of living as their primary concern.
The poll was co-led by Democratic firm Hart Research Associates and Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies. It surveyed 1,000 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Blue-collar workers illustrate the current dynamic. Their net economic approval has plunged 22 points to -15 since the term began. However, their overall presidential approval remains positive at +6. They still prefer a Republican-controlled Congress by 21 points, though that margin has narrowed from 33 points in July.
Source: CNBC
